Can Jack Ciattarelli defeat Mikkie Sherrill in NJ?

A short 4 years ago, few people gave Jack Ciattarelli a chance of defeating Democrat incumbent Phil Murphy. Predictably, the 'experts' were off. Ciattarelli lost but by only 3 point. This time, NJ Democrats aren't taking anything for granted. Democrat Congresswoman Mikkie Sherrill is running this time because Gov. Murphy is term-limited out. She'll still face Ciattarelli. This time, though, a few things have changed in NJ, mostly starting with the number of registered voters in NJ.

The most recent data from NJ says that "More than 4.2 million, nearly two thirds of all voters, are registered with a party in New Jersey. Democrats continue to outnumber Republicans with more than 38% of all registered New Jersey voters, according to the latest numbers. About 25% of voters were registered as Republicans as of Oct. 1. About 35% of voters are unaffiliated, the new data says."

It should worry Democrats that "the number of Republicans has surged since 2021, with the party gaining more than 163,800 voters in the past four years — an increase of more than 10%. The GOP has gained voters in 20 of New Jersey’s 21 counties. Only Somerset didn’t see an increase. But even in that county, the decline was minimal with the number of Republicans decreasing by less than a tenth of a percent."

This should bother Democrats, too:

Meanwhile, Democrats have lost more than 51,000 voters since 2021, the latest numbers show. That is a loss of about 2% of the party’s registered voters. The number of Democrats shrank in 14 counties. Cumberland saw the biggest decline with Democrats decreasing by more than 8%.

This is the GOP's formerly secret weapon:

Scott Pressler showed in that video that he knows voter registration data better than anyone in the nation. Also in that video, Pressler showed himself to be a man of high energy.