Salena Zito: the press got it wrong again, Indiana edition

It isn't exactly a well-kept secret that Salena Zito is my favorite political beat reporter. When she reports on a story, she reports from the location of the election. In Salena's latest report, she reported "Going into Tuesday night, both the local and national press professed doom for Trump’s fortunes and influence, with headlines from Politico reading 'Trump’s redistricting revenge tour in Indiana isn’t going so well.' The reporter openly mocked the attendance at a Turning Point USA rally with conservative activist Scott Pressler, showing shots of a handful of people attending as proof that the effort was flailing."

The so-called experts miss their predictions because they didn't spend a week in, for instance, Indiana talking to people. Without that, you've got nothing substantive. At that point, to use a longtime friend's phrase, are SWAG, aka Statistical Wild Ass Guesses. You don't have data.

Salena's report continues, reporting "Perhaps what was missed is that while voters may or may not show up for a rally in the middle of April, it doesn’t necessarily mean that they won’t show up to vote. What TPUSA did effectively was both door-knocking and providing a positive, aspirational presence." Steve Kornacki broke things down on the Indiana primaries:

A number of these incumbents lost in landslides. They didn't just lose. Check this out:
Going into Tuesday night, both the local and national press professed doom for Trump’s fortunes and influence, with headlines from Politico reading "Trump’s redistricting revenge tour in Indiana isn’t going so well."
How could Politico'a reporter get it so wrong? If you're on the ground reporting, that shouldn't be possible. To miss a series of landslides shouldn't be possible.

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